Case Blue: from Deep State Civil War-in-the-Shadows to Open Military Revolt?

Election 2016 was marked by unusual violence that was directed against supporters of Republican President-elect Donald Trump. With moral support from even the White House, left-wing extremists, Mexican nationals, and black activists continue to target Trump supporters. Little was done to restrain these mobs and Obama himself took part in fomenting attacks against police officers across the country. The Republican victory on November 7 was followed by a period of uncertainty, as to whether or not the Deep State would openly rebel against the Constitution and prevent the new President-elect from taking office. The swearing-in of Donald J. Trump to the U.S. Presidency did not reduce the civil violence that was fostered by Deep State-sponsored Antifa (Anti-Fascist) groups, even as the prospect of open war between the states receded to the horizon. And now that the furtive plot to overthrow President Trump and the Constitution is being brought to light, the Deep State appears to be tumbling into ruins. But the Deep State still retains strongholds, such as California, from which it can continue to resist or regroup. Therefore, it is worth considering the possible scenarios that might develop, if the Deep State should somehow rebuild its strength.

The only time that a US Presidential election provoked a civil war, was when Republican Abraham Lincoln won the election of 1860. Seven southern states withdrew from the Union in January 1861 and formed the Confederate States of America. Hostilities began in April 1861, when South Carolina bombarded and captured Fort Sumter. When President Lincoln began mobilizing an army to recover the fort, four more southern states seceded and joined the Confederacy.[1] The “War Between the States” lasted four years and ultimately ended in a Northern victory.

Though the North and South disagreed strongly on such questions as tariffs, states rights, and slavery, they agreed on forms of government: the Constitution of the Confederate States of America was identical to the United States Constitution, in nearly every respect. They also had the same national heroes, such as Patrick Henry and George Washington. These shared values and heroes made eventual reconciliation possible, once the war ended in 1865.

A reconciliation today might be more difficult: while Republicans or residents of “Red” states may still revere George Washington and Patrick Henry, Democrats or residents of “Blue” states are more likely to worship Che Guevara, or America’s ‘False Dmitri’,[2] Barack Obama. While a Republican would not hesitate to display an American flag, it was observed that on the first night of the Democratic National Convention in July, not one American flag was to be seen.[3]

Thus, “Red” states and “Blue” states are sharply divided[4] by visions of government: Democrat states tend to lean toward the “dictatorship of the proletariat”, while Republican states tend to lean toward more representative government models. In terms of politics, ideology, and geography, a hypothetical civil war would differ strongly from the previous American experience. For those analyzing the possibility of civil war in the United States, the Spanish Civil War of 1936-1939 may be a relevant case study.

There were two major camps in the Spanish Civil War: the National Front and the Popular Front. Each side corresponded to a bloc that could be expected to form in a second American Civil War. The pillars of Spain’s National Front, that is, the Catholic Church, the Spanish military, landowners, monarchists, and the Falange Movement, correspond to the US Republican Party, the religious right, the US Military, the wealthy, Constitutionalists, patriots, and social conservatives. The Popular Front’s republicans, socialists, communists, Anarchists, and Basques, correspond to the US Democratic Party, liberals, socialists, black militants, LGBT extremists, Antifa, and Mexican separatists.

A look at how states voted in the Electoral College in the past 20 years,[5] suggests where the initial frontlines would lay in a civil war. The states of the Pacific coast, the upper Midwest, and the Northeast have generally voted for Democratic presidential candidates. These might form a bloc that we shall call “Blue States.” The South, the lower Midwest, and Western states have generally voted for Republican candidates, and so we shall call this bloc the “Red States.” An analysis of voting patterns at the county and city level reveals that a Blue-Red split would not strictly fall along state lines. Nevertheless, for a simple prediction model, it is sufficient to work with state lines.

Below: Electoral College Maps from Elections 2000 and 2016, Demonstrate a Pattern of Republican and Democrat Voting That Has Generally Held for 20 Years.



With the geography of the two hypothetical sides established, the next thing to consider is what sides the military services might support. In the last century, military services were split in civil wars, in which socialism was a competing political vision. Thus, in the 1905 and 1917 Russian Revolutions, naval personnel sided with socialists and Bolsheviks. This phenomenon was repeated in Germany in 1918, when the German Navy declared for the socialists and Spartacists, and again in Spain in the 1936-1939 Spanish Civil War, when most of the Spanish Fleet supported the socialist-communist-anarchist Popular Front. Professional soldiers – both active duty and retired – tended to support those who promoted nationalism and traditionalism. While revolutionaries were victorious in the 1917 Bolshevik Revolution, “old guard” army servicemen put down the 1905 Revolution, the Spartacist Revolt, and overthrew the Popular Front government in the Spanish Civil War. Given past experience, one might expect the US Navy to defect to the Blue States (but do not count on it!), which coincidentally possess many seaports. And past experience might cause us to expect the bulk of the US Army, Air Force, and Marines to align with the patriotic Red States – which coincidentally host 7 out of 11 major military installations in the United States,[6] and many smaller installations.[7] Similarly, a presumed Red State bloc would possess 35 US Air Force bases, while a presumed Blue State bloc would possess only 18.[8] In the case of the US Navy, 15 bases are located within a presumed Blue bloc, while 13 are located within a presumed Red bloc.[9] Even though over 200 patriotic, senior officers were purged and replaced during Obama’s tenure,[10] one may still expect very strong support for President Trump among all ranks.

Of strategic importance will be the number of nuclear warheads each side controls. The US Navy controls nearly 4,000 warheads, while the US Air Force controls nearly 5,000.

Another factor to consider is gun ownership among the civilian population: over 60 million Americans own at least 300 million guns, and many of these weapons meet military standards. Most gun owners tend to vote for pro-gun, Republican candidates. In the role of militia, they would be a very important factor in determining who controls a given region.

Another factor to consider is energy: the Red States would control majority portions of oil, gas, and coal deposits in the United States. And the Red States would have a large share of food production. One area in which the Blue States may have some advantage is manufacturing.  This advantage would be brief, if Red State forces moved quickly to secure adjacent Blue State industrial regions.

Lastly, one must consider that in addition to being a war of ideologies, this would generally be a war of races, as well. Most Americans prefer not to recognize it, but it is a fact that race-identity strongly motivates significant numbers of people on both sides of the struggle.

In this writer’s opinion, without foreign intervention, a conventional military uprising on the part of the Blue States would probably fail, soon after it began. However, if the Blue States (the Deep States) pursue irregular (asymmetrical) warfare, by using ideologically committed militant forces, they might affect the strategic balance. Antifa, Muslims, black militants and separatists might engage in ethnic cleansing attacks against white civilians, particularly women and children. Through the use of terror tactics, they may force the evacuation of white populations from disputed areas and thus offset conventional military setbacks, by forcing Red States to redeploy regular forces for civil defense. But such actions would almost certainly risk reciprocal – and perhaps far stronger – responses from Red States, particularly if they feel compelled to recover the initiative.

During the 2016 election campaign, some American media openly called for a coup d’etat, if Donald Trump won the election.[11],[12] In the months since the election, rebellious FBI and CIA agents have sought to answer this call, by bringing about a palace coup. In addition, Black Lives Matters threatened to start an uprising[13] and agents of George Soros were everywhere, raising commotions.[14] It has also been reported that anti-Trump forces have been stockpiling weapons for an insurgency or civil war.[15] With light being shed on its Civil War-in-the-Shadows, the Deep State is down, but not out of the game. It may need to replace some of its agents, but no one should think that the Deep State is going away. As long as the paymasters are free to move their pieces around on the board, Americans must remain vigilant to the possibility that the Deep State will regroup, and try again.

Patrick Cloutier

Patrick Cloutier is the author of Three Kings: Axis Royal Armies on the Russian Front 1941 and  Three Kings: Axis Royal Armies on the Russian Front 1942, and is the translator of Raciology, by Vladimir Avdeyev.












[12] There were even calls for assassination:




The Reconquest of France and Spain 721-1492 A.D.

1,300 years ago, following the Moslem conquest of Spain, an Arab force under al Hurr ibn Abd al-Rahman al Thaqafi crossed the Pyrennes Mountains, and captured the city of Narbonne, to use as a base of operations for raids into Aquitaine and Southern France.[1]

It was the year 717. Western Europe was faced with the threat of Moslem conquest. All of Iberia (Spain and Portugal), except the mountainous far north, had been brought under Muslim control in just 6 years. It seemed that France (or Gaul) would suffer the same fate. Muslim expansion was checked at the Battle of Toulouse in 721, when Odo of Aquitaine killed the new Saracen commander, Emir al-Samh. Even so, Muslim control of Septimania (the Mediterranean coast of modern France) remained secure.

Most historians consider the re-conquest of Spain to have begun in 722, when the Visigothic nobleman, Pelagius, defeated a Muslim force at the Battle of Covadonga in 722 and established the Christian kingdom of Asturias.[2] But it would not be until the time of Charlemagne, when measurable progress in the Reconquista would be made again.

In 732 A.D., the Moslem governor of Spain, Abd er-Rahman, decided to seize the rest of France. He led an army of 50,000 men northwards, but was decisively defeated at the Battle of Tours, in October of that year. Still, the Muslims would control southern France until 759,[3] when Frankish King Pepin conquered Narbonne.[4]

Below: Iberian Peninsula circa 756 A.D.

In 778, Charlemagne sent an army against the Muslim Moors in Spain. He eventually won control of the northeastern corner of Iberia, even though his rearguard under Roland met a disastrous end at the Roncesvalles Pass, at the hands of wild mountaineers.[5] Years later (801), he captured the city of Barcelona (capital of modern Catalonia). Charlemagne made the captured territory (portions of Catalonia and Aragon) part of his dominions, under the title of Spanish March.

Below: Empire of Charlemagne circa 814 A.D.

In the 800s, the Kingdom of Asturias expanded southward to the Duero River. In the early 900s, it became known as the Kingdom of León. To the east, Navarre, Castile, Aragon, and Barcelona also expanded at the expense of the Moors, so that by the year 1000, a significant portion of northern Spain had been cleared of Muslim influence.

Below: Kingdom of Asturias (Leon), circa 910 A.D.

Below: Iberian Peninsula, circa 1000 A.D.

In the first half of the 1100s, the new nation of Portugal added its energy to the Reconquista, as King Alfonso pushed the Muslims to the southern bank of the Tagus River. The other kingdoms of Iberia continued to press them as well, until by 1200, half of the Iberian peninsula had been brought under Christian control.

The final push against the Moors began in 1481. Muley Abu’l Hassan, Muslim king of Granada, attacked Marquis Rodrigo Ponce de León, Duke of Cadiz,[6] but King Ferdinand and Queen Isabella of Spain came to his aid. After 10 years of war, the Muslims were expelled from Spain in 1492.

Although Muslim political control in Spain was eliminated, many Muslim peasants of Moorish origin remained. Over several decades, these Muslims had to convert to Catholicism or be expelled.[7] The descendents of those North Africans can still be seen in Spain. Mayte Mateos and María Mendiolas, who formed the 1970s Spanish pop group Baccara, may be representative of the European and North African types found in Spain:

Mayte Mateos and Maria Mendiolas of Baccara.

Along with the Muslims, the Jews were also expelled from Spain, due to the establishment of the Inquisition, and the prevailing opinion that they were too willing to do business with Muslims. Indeed, it was widely thought that the Jews had aided the Muslims in their first conquests and occupation of Iberia.[8]

With the above expulsions, the Catholic character of Spain (and Portugal) was consolidated. With a single faith, a union of crowns, and more or less compatible ethnic groups, Spain experienced a meteoric rise in power, particularly with its discovery of the New World, which brought it immense wealth – something it could not have done, if it had still been distracted by conflicts with the Muslims in Iberia.

Now, 1,300 years after the Muslims crossed the Pyrennes Mountains into France, Europe again faces the threat of Muslim domination. And it was brought to this condition, not by an army of jihadists, but by the invitation of half-mad gentiles and Jews,[9] who believe that filling Europe with millions and millions of half-educated, rapacious Muslims and Africans, is a path to a Brave New World.

From 721 to 1492, Europe knew what it had to do, in order to preserve its peoples, faith and civilization: expel the Muslim. It took over 700 years to do so, because the Muslims had formidable armies, and Europeans were not always united in the effort. Today, the nations of the West have the most formidable armies and weapons in human history, and the Muslim invaders have nothing more than an invitation from Angela Merkel and Europe’s sad sacks. Chanting socialist mantras, the leaders of Western European governments even refuse to summon the will to fight. The Muslim, on the other hand, has not hesitated to seize the opportunity offered to him by Europe’s turncoats.

However, the peoples of Europe are awakening to the danger. The question is, can they succeed in bringing nationalist governments to power, that will act with the necessary resolve, before it is too late? With all the power and means at Europe’s disposal, it should take no more than a decade to clean the British Isles and the Continent of Muslims and Africans. Why take 700 years to do so?

Patrick Cloutier

Mr. Cloutier is an author and translator of several books, and is the writer for

Three Kings: Axis Royal Armies on the Russian Front 1941.

Three Kings: Axis Royal Armies on the Russian Front 1942.


[1] R. Ernest Dupuy and Trevor N. Dupuy, The Encyclopedia of Military History from 3500 B.C. to the Present. (New York: Harper and Row, 1986) 204.

[2] Some historians assert that the battle took place in 718 A.D.


[4] France derives its name from the Germanic tribe that dominated the region, the Franks.

[5] Philip Van Ness Myers, A Short History of Medieval and Modern Times for Colleges and High Schools (Boston: Ginn and Company, 1906) 44.